📌 TOPINDIATOURS Update crypto: Bitcoin’s ‘Unlucky 13 Problem’ Explained: Here’s Wh

Bitcoin trades near $87,820, flat on the day and still down about 4% over the last 30 days. Buyers appear at every Bitcoin price dip, but each bounce has failed to move outside the same narrow range. The chart now shows a clear reason why attempts keep stalling.

The short answer: Bitcoin’s unlucky 13 problem. A key on-chain resistance level sits 13% above the current price, and until it breaks, upside keeps fading before momentum can form.

Short-Term Holders Set the Ceiling With A Cost Basis Hurdle

Glassnode’s Short-Term Holder Cost Basis model tracks the average price where recent buyers hold coins. Short-term holders usually react fastest to volatility. When prices trade below their entry, they sell to avoid deeper losses. This creates an automatic layer of sell pressure that acts like a ceiling on the chart.

Right now, that cost basis sits at $99,790, roughly 13% above spot. At $87,820 (current price), most recent buyers are underwater. This explains why every Bitcoin rally fades before it can build toward a breakout: sellers keep stepping in early.

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HODL Waves data, a metric that segregates cohorts by holding age, confirms this behavior. The 1-day to 1-week cohort (short-term cohort) dropped from 6.38% of supply on November 27 to 2.13% on December 27. These newer buyers are offloading coins rather than holding them, which reinforces resistance before Bitcoin even reaches $99,790.

This makes $99,790 the most important resistance on Bitcoin’s chart, in the near term. It is worth noting that this on-chain resistance level is dynamic and could shift depending on the spot price. Therefore, we would also want a level verification on the technical chart.

If price reclaims it, short-term holders flip into profit, forced selling probably stops, and the supply pressure that blocked every bounce begins to fade.

Momentum Shows Buyers Trying, But Not Enough To Break Out

On the 12-hour chart, Bitcoin trades inside a symmetrical triangle. A symmetrical triangle forms when lower highs and higher lows compress into a point, signaling indecision between buyers and sellers. It is a neutral pattern that needs a breakout to confirm direction.

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures whether big money is flowing into or out of the market by tracking volume pressure. CMF is rising with price, which means buyers are participating, but it remains below the zero line.

A CMF below zero means inflows are not strong enough to confirm trend strength, so momentum alone cannot break the upper trendline of the triangle yet.

This explains the hesitation in the structure. Buyers are present, but they have not tipped the balance. Until CMF closes above zero and price escapes the triangle, the pattern signals effort without control. And the BTC price would keep getting pushed into the range courtesy of the short-term selling pressure.

Bitcoin Price Levels Also Show the 13% Barrier and Why It Matters

Bitcoin has been stuck between $84,370 and $90,540 for most of late December. Every approach toward $90,540 fades as underwater holders exit to minimize losses. This aligns directly with the short-term cost basis ceiling.

For now, the roadmap is straightforward.

A move above $94,600 would be the first sign that buyers are making progress. If price continues higher and reclaims $99,820 (near the short-term holder cost basis level from earlier), the unlucky 13 barrier breaks, short-term holders recover, and the selling pressure that stalled every bounce finally weakens. That would then turn the Bitcoin price action bullish.

From there, $107,420 becomes the next magnet. If buyers cannot defend momentum, then $84,370 becomes the first support to watch. A daily close below $80,570 would confirm a breakdown, reset the trend expectation for January, and extend the range lower.

The post Bitcoin’s ‘Unlucky 13 Problem’ Explained: Here’s Why Every Price Bounce Keeps Failing appeared first on BeInCrypto.

🔗 Sumber: www.beincrypto.com

📌 TOPINDIATOURS Breaking crypto: Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Eyes $3,300 as $2.

Ethereum is hovering around $2,940, but its value does not even begin to tell the bigger story, it’s all about the way institutions are starting to get on board with ETH. BitMine (BMNR), now officially the world’s largest Ethereum treasury firm, has just made a major move by staking 74,880 ETH worth roughly $219 million into Ethereum’s proof-of-stake network.

This is a big deal because, to date, it’s the first time BitMine has staked any of its holdings, it marks a move away from simply holding onto ETH to now actively seeking to earn some return.

According to on-chain data from Arkham, BitMine now has about 4.07 million ETH on its books. If it were to fully stake that amount at current yields of 3.12% APY, then that would generate an additional 126,800 ETH every year, a whopping $371 million a year at current prices.

A return that’s going to start making people look at Ethereum not just as an asset that could grow in value, but as a genuine source of steady income.

Institutional Investment in ETH is Steadily Climbing

This staking move comes hot on the heels of fresh accumulation by BitMine – last week alone, they added 98,852 ETH at an average price near $2,976 – a purchase valued at about $294 million. Meanwhile, Bitcoin treasury firms like Strategy were largely sitting on their hands during the same time, but the Ethereum-focused treasuries are stepping up to the plate.

A few key things have been happening in the recent treasury activity that are worth noting:

• BitMine now holds over 4 million ETH – the largest known stash of its kind held by a corporate firm.
• The fact that BitMine is staking ETH for the first time is a clear vote of confidence in the network’s overall stability.
• By staking ETH, BitMine is introducing a regular return into its treasury models, which will be a major change in how it uses ETH.

For anyone investing at the institutional level, this is all about big picture thinking – not about short-term price moves but about getting your long-term positioning right.

Ethereum’s Price Holds Firm Despite Wider Market Caution

From a market perspective, Ethereum’s fundamentals are looking healthy. It remains one of the top 2 assets by market cap, with a valuation of roughly $355 billion and daily trading volumes exceeding $7.4 billion. Despite a general air of caution across the wider crypto market, ETH has held its ground above key support levels.

Ethereum (ETH/USD) Price Chart: Hanging fire

On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum price prediction seems bearish as ETH is bumping up against resistance around the $3,300- $3,350 region. At the moment, its price is stuck in a consolidation phase rather than being in a full-blown free fall. Each time the price approaches the $2,775 support zone, buyers step in and absorb that supply, which is a good sign.

Just now, the price is trading slightly beneath the 50-day EMA ($2,954) and the 100-day EMA ($2,982), and the narrowing gap between the two lines suggests the downward momentum is starting to slow. The RSI (a measure of overbought/oversold conditions) is in the 50 zone, which is another sign of balance, neither extreme nor orderly, showing neither excessive buying pressure nor a total collapse in demand.

If the price breaks above $3,000, we can see an acceleration towards $3,170 – the next technical target would be the $3,300-$3,320 zone. But if the price were to break down below $2,775, it would leave it at risk of falling to $2,620. At the moment, all the signs point towards stabilization of current price levels rather than a breakdown.

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The post Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Eyes $3,300 as $2.19bn Staking Bet Signals Institutional Shift appeared first on Cryptonews.

🔗 Sumber: cryptonews.com