📌 TOPINDIATOURS Eksklusif ai: Majority of CEOs Alarmed as AI Delivers No Financial

Investors continue to fret over an AI bubble “reckoning,” as gains in productivity from the tech remain elusive.

According to a recent survey by professional services network PwC, more than half of the 4,454 CEO respondents said “their companies aren’t yet seeing a financial return from investments in AI.”

Only 30 percent reported increased revenue from AI in the last 12 months. However, a far more significant 56 percent said AI has failed to either boost revenue or lower costs. A mere 12 percent of CEOs reported that it’d accomplished both goals.

The findings once again underline lingering questions about the effectiveness of the tech. That’s despite AI companies pouring tens of billions into data center buildouts and related infrastructure.

Instead of looking for other avenues for growth, though, PwC found that executives are worried about falling behind by not leaning into AI enough.

“A small group of companies are already turning AI into measurable financial returns, whilst many others are still struggling to move beyond pilots,” said PwC global chairman Mohamed Kande in a statement. “That gap is starting to show up in confidence and competitiveness, and it will widen quickly for those that don’t act.”

PwC also pointed out that most companies were lacking the “AI foundations, such as clearly defined road maps and sufficient levels of investment” to realize a return.

But whether pouring even more money into AI will suddenly turn the tech into a money maker — and not a major expense on the balance sheet — remains the subject of a heated debate.

For now, the prognosis is still looking somewhat grim. Last year, a frequently-cited MIT report found that a staggering 95 percent of attempts to incorporate generative AI into business so far are failing to lead to “rapid revenue acceleration.”

The effectiveness of the tech itself has also repeatedly been called into question, from frequent hallucinations and an inability to complete real-world office tasks to ongoing concerns over data security.

The topic of tangible returns on investment from AI is bound to be a major focus this year as executives wonder how to translate all that hype into real-world implementations — and whether it’ll actually help their bottom lines in the long run.

More on the AI hype: Terrified Investors Are Bracing for an AI Bubble “Reckoning”

The post Majority of CEOs Alarmed as AI Delivers No Financial Returns appeared first on Futurism.

🔗 Sumber: futurism.com

📌 TOPINDIATOURS Eksklusif ai: Researchers from PSU and Duke introduce “Multi-Agent

Share My Research is Synced’s column that welcomes scholars to share their own research breakthroughs with over 2M global AI enthusiasts. Beyond technological advances, Share My Research also calls for interesting stories behind the research and exciting research ideas. 

Meet the author
Institutions: Penn State University, Duke University, Google DeepMind, University of Washington, Meta, Nanyang Technological University, and Oregon State University. The co-first authors are Shaokun Zhang of Penn State University and Ming Yin of Duke University.

In recent years, LLM Multi-Agent systems have garnered widespread attention for their collaborative approach to solving complex problems. However, it’s a common scenario for these systems to fail at a task despite a flurry of activity. This leaves developers with a critical question: which agent, at what point, was responsible for the failure? Sifting through vast interaction logs to pinpoint the root cause feels like finding a needle in a haystack—a time-consuming and labor-intensive effort.
 
This is a familiar frustration for developers. In increasingly complex Multi-Agent systems, failures are not only common but also incredibly difficult to diagnose due to the autonomous nature of agent collaboration and long information chains. Without a way to quickly identify the source of a failure, system iteration and optimization grind to a halt.
 
To address this challenge, researchers from Penn State University and Duke University, in collaboration with institutions including Google DeepMind, have introduced the novel research problem of “Automated Failure Attribution.” They have constructed the first benchmark dataset for this task, Who&When, and have developed and evaluated several automated attribution methods. This work not only highlights the complexity of the task but also paves a new path toward enhancing the reliability of LLM Multi-Agent systems.
The paper has been accepted as a Spotlight presentation at the top-tier machine learning conference, ICML 2025, and the code and dataset are now fully open-source.

Paper：https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.00212
Code：https://github.com/mingyin1/Agents_Failure_Attribution
Dataset：https://huggingface.co/datasets/Kevin355/Who_and_When
 
 
Research Background and Challenges
LLM-driven Multi-Agent systems have demonstrated immense potential across many domains. However, these systems are fragile; errors by a single agent, misunderstandings between agents, or mistakes in information transmission can lead to the failure of the entire task.

Currently, when a system fails, developers are often left with manual and inefficient methods for debugging:
Manual Log Archaeology : Developers must manually review lengthy interaction logs to find the source of the problem.
Reliance on Expertise : The debugging process is highly dependent on the developer’s deep understanding of the system and the task at hand.
 
This “needle in a haystack” approach to debugging is not only inefficient but also severely hinders rapid system iteration and the improvement of system reliability. There is an urgent need for an automated, systematic method to pinpoint the cause of failures, effectively bridging the gap between “evaluation results” and “system improvement.”

Core Contributions
This paper makes several groundbreaking contributions to address the challenges above:
1. Defining a New Problem: The paper is the first to formalize “automated failure attribution” as a specific research task. This task is defined by identifying the

2. failure-responsible agent and the decisive error step that led to the task’s failure.

Constructing the First Benchmark Dataset: Who&When : This dataset includes a wide range of failure logs collected from 127 LLM Multi-Agent systems, which were either algorithmically generated or hand-crafted by experts to ensure realism and diversity. Each failure log is accompanied by fine-grained human annotations for:
Who: The agent responsible for the failure.
When: The specific interaction step where the decisive error occurred.
Why: A natural language explanation of the cause of the failure.

3. Exploring Initial “Automated Attribution” Methods : Using the Who&When dataset, the paper designs and assesses three distinct methods for automated failure attribution:
All-at-Once: This method provides the LLM with the user query and the complete failure log, asking it to identify the responsible agent and the decisive error step in a single pass. While cost-effective, it may struggle to pinpoint precise errors in long contexts.
Step-by-Step: This approach mimics manual debugging by having the LLM review the interaction log sequentially, making a judgment at each step until the error is found. It is more precise at locating the error step but incurs higher costs and risks accumulating errors.
Binary Search: A compromise between the first two methods, this strategy repeatedly divides the log in half, using the LLM to determine which segment contains the error. It then recursively searches the identified segment, offering a balance of cost and performance.
 
Experimental Results and Key Findings

Experiments were conducted in two settings: one where the LLM knows the ground truth answer to the problem the Multi-Agent system is trying to solve (With Ground Truth) and one where it does not (Without Ground Truth). The primary model used was GPT-4o, though other models were also tested. The systematic evaluation of these methods on the Who&When dataset yielded several important insights:

• A Long Way to Go: Current methods are far from perfect. Even the best-performing single method achieved an accuracy of only about 53.5% in identifying the responsible agent and a mere 14.2% in pinpointing the exact error step. Some methods performed even worse than random guessing, underscoring the difficulty of the task.
• No “All-in-One” Solution: Different methods excel at different aspects of the problem. The All-at-Once method is better at identifying “Who,” while the Step-by-Step method is more effective at determining “When.” The Binary Search method provides a middle-ground performance.

• Hybrid Approaches Show Promise but at a High Cost: The researchers found that combining different methods, such as using the All-at-Once approach to identify a potential agent and then applying the Step-by-Step method to find the error, can improve overall performance. However, this comes with a significant increase in computational cost.

• State-of-the-Art Models Struggle: Surprisingly, even the most advanced reasoning m…

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  🔗 Sumber: syncedreview.com

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