📌 TOPINDIATOURS Hot crypto: 5 Critical Factors That Could End Gold’s 7-Month Green

Gold is on the verge of an unprecedented eighth consecutive monthly gain, a streak that would mark the longest in its history. However, several headwinds are threatening to interrupt the rally.

While investors have flocked to the safe-haven metal amid macroeconomic uncertainty, market strategists warn that the run-up may be reaching a critical juncture.

Gold’s Historic Rally Faces Unprecedented Risks

Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, Mark Zandi, warns that financial markets feel increasingly fraught, with the elements for a meaningful selloff coming into place.

This threat, he says, is highest for stocks and corporate bonds, but even crypto, gold, and silver remain at risk despite recent pullbacks.

“Valuations are high…investors are simply investing on the faith that prices will rise quickly in the future because they have in the recent past,” Zandi stated.

The economist points to mixed economic fundamentals as a source of tension. US real GDP is growing just over 2%, below the economy’s potential of roughly 2.5%. Meanwhile, employment has flatlined, and unemployment continues creeping higher.

Inflation, measured by the Fed’s preferred consumer expenditure deflator, remains stubbornly and uncomfortably high at 3%.

Meanwhile, renewed tariff chaos and the looming threat of conflict with Iran provide little upside for risk assets.

The Treasury market adds another layer of uncertainty. Zandi warns that leveraged hedge funds have stepped into a fragile market left by a retreating Federal Reserve and global investors.

“It’s not hard to imagine them running for the proverbial door all at once, and interest rates spike,” he said.

Massive budget deficits and questions about the safe-haven status of Treasuries in a de-globalizing world exacerbate the risk.

Despite these headwinds, gold continues to attract investors as a durable store of value. Data from Kalshi shows the metal on track for its eighth straight green month.

Meanwhile, Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett advises trading oil for short-term geopolitical gains but “owning gold” for longer-term safety.

Central banks now hold more gold than US Treasuries in reserves for the first time since 1996, reflecting their role as a hedge against fiat currency risk.

China’s Gold Shortage Sparks Supply Crunch Amid Historic Rally

China’s post-Chinese New Year gold shortage is also adding bullish momentum, though it comes with its own risks.

Reports indicate that many gold shops halted bar sales and refunded pre-holiday contracts due to severe supply constraints.

Analysts suggest this could push gold toward $10,000 per ounce in extreme scenarios, though abrupt market reactions may trigger short-term corrections.

“Extremely severe gold shortage to Send Gold to $10,000/oz soon!” Silver Trade <a href="https://x.com/silvertrade/status/2025557629863371042?s=20" targe…

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🔗 Sumber: www.beincrypto.com

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📌 TOPINDIATOURS Eksklusif crypto: Vitalik Buterin Explains How Crypto Can Protect

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has outlined a new framework for crypto security, offering practical strategies rooted in redundancy, multi-angle verification, and human-centric design.

He argues that the best way to protect users is to close the gap between their intent and system behavior.

Vitalik Buterin Explains Closing the Gap Between User Intent and System Security

Buterin’s insights, dismantling the idea of perfect security, arrive at a time when crypto platforms continue to face wallet hacks, smart contract exploits, and complex privacy risks.

By merging security with user experience, Buterin provides developers with a roadmap for balancing protection with usability.

Buterin reframes security as an effort to minimize the divergence between what users want and what systems do.

While user experience broadly addresses this gap, security specifically targets tail-risk scenarios in which adversarial behavior could lead to severe consequences.

“Perfect security is impossible—not because machines are flawed, or because humans designing them are flawed, but because the user’s intent is fundamentally an extremely complex object,” Buterin wrote.

He points out that even a seemingly simple action, like sending 1 ETH to a recipient, involves assumptions about identity, blockchain forks, and common-sense knowledge that cannot be fully encoded.

More intricate objectives, such as preserving privacy, add layers of complexity: metadata patterns, message timing, and behavioral signals can all leak sensitive information. This makes it difficult to distinguish between “trivial” and “catastrophic” losses.

The challenge mirrors early debates in AI safety, where specifying goals strongly proved notoriously difficult. In crypto, translating human intent into code faces a similar barrier.

Redundancy and Multi-Angle Verification

To compensate for these limitations, Buterin advocates redundancy: users specify intent through multiple overlapping methods. Systems act only when all specifications align.

This approach applies across Ethereum wallets, operating systems, formal verification, and hardware security.

For instance, programming type systems require developers to specify both program logic and expected data structures; mismatches prevent compilation.

Formal verification adds mathematical property checks to ensure code behaves as intended. Transaction simulations allow users to preview on-chain consequences before confirming actions.

Post-assertions require both action and expected outcomes to match. Multisig wallets and social recovery mechanisms distribute authority across multiple keys. This ensures that single-point failures do not compromise security.

The Role of AI in Security

Buterin also envisions large language models (LLMs) as a complementary tool, describing them as “a simulation of intent.”

Generic LLMs mirror human common sense, while user-fine-tuned models can detect what is normal or unusual for an individual.

“LLMs should under no circumstances be relied on as a sole determiner of intent. But they are one ‘angle’ from which a user’s intent can be approximated,” he noted.

Integrating LLMs with traditional redundancy methods could enhance mismatch detection without creating single points of failure.

Balancing Security and Usability

Critically, Buterin emphasizes that security should not translate into unnecessary friction for routine actions.

 Low-risk tasks should be easy or even automated, while risky actions, such as transfers to new addresses or unusually large sums, require additional verification.

This calibrated approach ensures protection without frustrating users.

By blending redundancy, multi-angle verification, and AI-assisted insights, Buterin offers a roadmap for crypto platforms to reduce risk while maintaining usability.

Perfect security may be unattainable, but a layered, human-centered approach can safeguard users and strengthen trust in decentralized systems.

The post Vitalik Buterin Explains How Crypto Can Protect Users When Perfect Security Remains Impossible appeared first on BeInCrypto.

🔗 Sumber: www.beincrypto.com

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